Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Lecce
28.5%
Draw
26.5%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Lecce
vs
1.08
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).