Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Pau FC
22.0%
Draw
14.0%
Aalborg BK
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Pau FC
vs
0.84
Aalborg BK
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).