Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Osasuna
25.0%
Draw
20.4%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Osasuna
vs
0.91
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).