Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Holstein Kiel
18.0%
Draw
60.2%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Holstein Kiel
vs
2.80
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS77.3%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.3%
Over 2.582.7%
Over 3.565.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
2-3
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
0-2
4.3%
2-4
4.1%
0-3
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
3-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).