Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Holstein Kiel
26.7%
Draw
43.8%
Hannover
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.61
Hannover
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).