Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Millwall
28.0%
Draw
22.5%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Millwall
vs
0.94
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).