Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Torino
23.9%
Draw
21.7%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Torino
vs
0.96
Spezia
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).