⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 12CSV

29 Feb 2020 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
79.8%
Lorient
12.2%
Draw
8.0%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

2.77

Lorient

vs
0.75

Chambly

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
3-0
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
5.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
5-1
3.0%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).