Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Paris FC
26.1%
Draw
28.5%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Paris FC
vs
0.99
Nantes
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).