Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Newport County
23.7%
Draw
51.5%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Newport County
vs
1.64
Walsall
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).