Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Aris
17.1%
Draw
16.8%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Aris
vs
1.22
Marseille
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
4.9%
3-2
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).