Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Lecce
24.9%
Draw
13.7%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Lecce
vs
0.72
Benevento
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).