Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.4%
Man United
12.5%
Draw
4.1%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
Man United
vs
0.57
Norwich
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-0
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.0%
5-0
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
4.0%
5-1
2.9%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).