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19 Oct 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.3%
Khimki
22.1%
Draw
51.7%
Lokomotiv Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Khimki

vs
2.24

Lokomotiv Moskva

Markets

BTTS71.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.573.4%
Over 3.553.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-3
5.1%
0-3
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
1-4
3.6%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).