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28 Oct 2023 · 17:30

Getafe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Mallorca
33.6%
Draw
28.9%
Getafe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Mallorca

vs
0.82

Getafe

Markets

BTTS35.5%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.554.3%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.9%
1-0
15.7%
1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.1%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).