Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.2%
Marseille
9.0%
Draw
6.8%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.87
Marseille
vs
1.18
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS67.6%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.587.9%
Over 3.574.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.3%
4-1
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-0
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
5-1
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
5-0
4.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-2
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
5-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).