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AHT: 01CSV

13 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.3%
Airdrie Utd
27.2%
Draw
59.5%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.68

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.0%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).