Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Schalke 04
29.0%
Draw
37.2%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Schalke 04
vs
1.32
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).