Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Valladolid
27.1%
Draw
26.9%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Valladolid
vs
0.98
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).