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16 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.1%
Wealdstone
23.9%
Draw
63.1%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Wealdstone

vs
1.81

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).