Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Valladolid
24.1%
Draw
39.6%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Valladolid
vs
1.53
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).