Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Ingolstadt
25.2%
Draw
57.3%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Ingolstadt
vs
1.79
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).