Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Cardiff
27.0%
Draw
17.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Cardiff
vs
0.78
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).