Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Veres
29.5%
Draw
40.5%
Karpaty
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Veres
vs
1.22
Karpaty
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).