Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Barnsley
29.2%
Draw
46.2%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Barnsley
vs
1.38
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).