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AHT: 11

17 Aug 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.4%
Nieciecza
27.5%
Draw
51.1%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Nieciecza

vs
1.56

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).