Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Gil Vicente
27.1%
Draw
24.5%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Gil Vicente
vs
0.85
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).