Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Mechelen
24.0%
Draw
18.8%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Mechelen
vs
0.95
Dender
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
2.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).