Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Ascoli
32.1%
Draw
38.7%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Ascoli
vs
1.16
Pisa
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).