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09 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.5%
Zaragoza
26.7%
Draw
36.8%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Zaragoza

vs
1.26

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).