Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Monza
25.8%
Draw
35.0%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Monza
vs
1.27
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).