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17 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.1%
Norwich
28.4%
Draw
20.5%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Norwich

vs
0.85

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).