Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Stoke
30.9%
Draw
24.7%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Stoke
vs
0.89
Preston
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.6%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).