Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
QPR
25.1%
Draw
20.2%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
QPR
vs
1.00
Reading
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).