Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.8%
Watford
20.3%
Draw
68.9%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Watford
vs
2.27
Brentford
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-3
8.9%
1-3
7.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).