Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Pacos Ferreira
26.3%
Draw
34.9%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.18
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).