Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Lens
24.6%
Draw
52.5%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Lens
vs
1.46
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).