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AHT: 01CSV

01 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Stevenage
32.0%
Draw
32.9%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Stevenage

vs
0.87

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS33.9%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.526.2%
Over 3.510.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.4%
1-0
16.0%
0-1
15.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.1%
0-3
1.8%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).