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HHT: 10CSV

19 Dec 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.2%
Eastleigh
30.2%
Draw
28.6%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Eastleigh

vs
1.03

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).