Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.9%
Barcelona
12.6%
Draw
8.5%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Barcelona
vs
0.98
Betis
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.577.0%
Over 3.557.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
6.3%
1-1
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.0%
5-0
4.0%
5-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).