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AHT: 01CSV

09 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.7%
Salernitana
25.6%
Draw
40.7%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Salernitana

vs
1.40

Empoli

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).