Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Sirius
19.9%
Draw
22.8%
Elfsborg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Sirius
vs
1.61
Elfsborg
Markets
BTTS74.5%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.578.5%
Over 3.559.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-2
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-2
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).