Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Hertha
26.7%
Draw
32.4%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Hertha
vs
1.33
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).