Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Hartlepool
29.3%
Draw
21.6%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Hartlepool
vs
0.85
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).