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10 May 2026 · 15:00

Molde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.2%
Tromsø
23.8%
Draw
21.9%
Molde

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Tromsø

vs
0.98

Molde

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).