Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.9%
Barking
20.7%
Draw
64.4%
Gorleston
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Barking
vs
1.91
Gorleston
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
0-4
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).