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14 Feb 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.3%
Stenhousemuir
24.1%
Draw
17.6%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Stenhousemuir

vs
0.90

Montrose

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).