Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Kortrijk
26.7%
Draw
25.7%
Mouscron
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Kortrijk
vs
1.08
Mouscron
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).