Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Man United
30.4%
Draw
29.8%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Man United
vs
1.14
Everton
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).