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DHT: 11CSV

22 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.5%
Alcorcon
31.7%
Draw
50.8%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.54

Alcorcon

vs
1.15

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS28.4%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.550.1%
Over 2.523.9%
Over 3.59.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
21.3%
0-0
18.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-3
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
2-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-2
1.8%
0-4
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).